Who is Most Likely to Receive an ITA for Canada PR in 2024?

Unlocking the Path to Canadian Permanent Residency in the New YearIn a world where dreams of Canadian Permanent Residency (PR) beckon, the question on many minds is, “Who is most likely to receive an Invitation to Apply (ITA) in 2024?” With a keen eye on the horizon, we delve into the Express Entry system, unveiling insights based on data from the Government of Canada. So, if you’re an aspiring immigrant, fasten your seatbelts as we navigate this exciting journey toward Canada.

The Express Entry System: A Glimpse

Before we unveil the prospects of 2024, let’s take a moment to understand the Express Entry system. This robust platform efficiently manages candidates across various immigration programs, including the Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP), the Federal Skilled Trades Program (FSTP), the Canadian Experience Class (CEC), and a portion of the Provincial Nominee Program (PNP). The heart of this system is the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS), which meticulously evaluates and ranks candidates based on crucial factors like work experience, age, language proficiency, and education.

Reflecting on 2023 and Anticipating 2024

1. Invitations by Program

The year 2023 witnessed a flurry of hope, with a total of 53,455 ITAs showered upon Express Entry candidates. This figure, however, does not include the additional 9,173 ITAs generously issued in October, underlining the optimism of the Canadian immigration landscape.

Intriguingly, the distribution of ITAs by program unveils fascinating insights into the preferences of the immigration authorities:

Canadian Experience Class (CEC) -candidates took the lion’s share, accounting for nearly 45% of the total ITAs (23,910). These individuals showcased their prowess in contributing to the Canadian job market through their Canadian work experience.

Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP)- candidates, constituting approximately 30%, followed closely behind with 15,855 ITAs. Their skills and expertise made them sought-after assets.

Provincial Nominee Program (PNP)- candidates, representing around 26%, secured the third-highest number of ITAs at 13,655. Provincial nominations played a pivotal role in their journey.

Notably, the Federal Skilled Trades Program (FSTP) did not witness any ITAs during this period, a testament to the evolving demands of the Canadian labor market.

2. Top Occupations

As we unravel the data further, a clear picture emerges of the most coveted occupations across all three primary programs:

Canadian Experience Class (CEC):

•   Software engineers and designers: 1,725 ITAs
•   Computer programmers and interactive media developers: 1,745 ITAs
•   Information systems analysts and consultants: 1,375 ITAs

Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP):

•   Financial auditors and accountants: 650 ITAs
•   Dentists: 570 ITAs
•   Software engineers and designers: 565 ITAs

Provincial Nominee Program (PNP):

•   Other occupations: 970 ITAs
•   Software engineers and designers: 820 ITAs
•   Information systems analysts and consultants: 615 ITAs

These figures underscore the significance of specialized skills, particularly in technology-related fields, in securing an ITA.

3. Invitations by CRS Score

Delving deeper into the data, we find that around half of all candidates possessed CRS scores in the range of 451-500. However, a select few managed to secure ITAs with scores exceeding 600. Notably, these high-scoring candidates typically obtained provincial nominations, injecting a substantial 600 points into their profiles.

4. Invitations by Province

Geographical preferences of candidates also play a pivotal role in the ITA landscape. In 2023, more than half of all candidates either resided in or expressed intentions to live in Ontario, where a staggering 31,550 ITAs were issued. Following closely were British Columbia and Alberta, with 10,655 and 5,280 ITAs, respectively, cementing their appeal among immigrants.

5. Invitations by Age

Age, too, proved to be a significant factor in the ITA allocation. The majority of candidates receiving ITAs fell within the age range of 19-29, with an impressive count of 28,970 candidates in their 20s. Younger candidates tend to score higher on the CRS, aligning perfectly with Statistics Canada research that highlights age as a robust predictor of immigrant labor market integration.

The Most Likely Candidates for 2024

So, who stands at the forefront as we step into 2024? Based on the available data, the spotlight shines on individuals in their 20s enrolled in the Canadian Experience Class (CEC). Among them, Software Engineers, whether already residing in or planning to move to Ontario, emerge as the most promising candidates poised to receive an invitation.

While 2023 witnessed a surge in ITAs compared to the previous year, it fell short of the remarkable figures of 2021, largely attributed to the global challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Looking ahead, the Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) sets ambitious targets, aiming for 110,770 permanent resident admissions through Express Entry programs in 2024, with even higher aspirations in the years that follow.

In conclusion, as the curtains rise on 2024, the Express Entry system continues to be a beacon of hope for skilled immigrants. If you find yourself in your 20s with aspirations of making Ontario your new home, the Canadian Experience Class (CEC) beckons as a promising pathway. With robust immigration targets, the dream of Canadian Permanent Residency remains attainable for those who qualify and seize the opportunity. Stay tuned for a dynamic year ahead in the world of Canadian immigration!